Note: no opinion either way, but thought exercise;
Pilots mayday’d ATC ~10 seconds after take-off. Survivor could’ve heard the engines die, oxygen masks may have deployed when ram-air turbine spun up, may’ve seen the ground getting closer instead of further away. Twenty adrenaline-fueled seconds is quite a bit of time. Main variable keeping me skeptical is finding a survivable intersection of fall height and distance from explosion.
Engine failure during take-off would lead to an abrupt decrease in the rate of change of acceleration; by definition the ‘jerk’. Escaping via the emergency exit in that time is feasible. Timing the jump…questionable, but possible.
This is what boggles the mind for me. He has this miniscule unknowable opportunity to get the door open, and jump from the plane at just the right time.
He had to hit the sweetspot combo of low altitude and airspeed that doesn’t cause him to die upon hitting the ground, but results in him being far enough from the blast of the aircraft itself impacting the ground. Its gotta be a fraction of a second window of time. He is literally one of the luckiest people in aviation accident history.
Note: no opinion either way, but thought exercise;
Pilots mayday’d ATC ~10 seconds after take-off. Survivor could’ve heard the engines die, oxygen masks may have deployed when ram-air turbine spun up, may’ve seen the ground getting closer instead of further away. Twenty adrenaline-fueled seconds is quite a bit of time. Main variable keeping me skeptical is finding a survivable intersection of fall height and distance from explosion.
Engine failure during take-off would lead to an abrupt decrease in the rate of change of acceleration; by definition the ‘jerk’. Escaping via the emergency exit in that time is feasible. Timing the jump…questionable, but possible.
This is what boggles the mind for me. He has this miniscule unknowable opportunity to get the door open, and jump from the plane at just the right time.
He had to hit the sweetspot combo of low altitude and airspeed that doesn’t cause him to die upon hitting the ground, but results in him being far enough from the blast of the aircraft itself impacting the ground. Its gotta be a fraction of a second window of time. He is literally one of the luckiest people in aviation accident history.